Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California Bay | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Johnny Paycheck | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silver N Black | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Titos With a Twist | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | California Bay | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ghostly Act | 2.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bronko Nagurski | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Heat | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hennys Crazy Train | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sheza Girly Girl | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Out Joy | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Renella | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Indy’s Star | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Time to Party | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Redline | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vantastic | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cane Creek Road | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spirit Maker | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tom Horn | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Montana | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Buck Owens | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stan From Malibu | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reef City | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Country Boy | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Free and Humble | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | La Paloma Blanca | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ava’s Storm | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Polo Bar | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Encolpion | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Turquoise Bikini | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Unkept Secret | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 98 | Square Fun | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Spoiled Rotten | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charlotte Harbor | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Soul Sweet | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Everlys Girl | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roman Empress | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roses R Blue | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | She’s Got a Way | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Real Fire | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gritty Girl | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | M Is for Magic | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paleo’s Princess | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ice Queen | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Professors’ Pride | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Teen Drama | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Established | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chasing Fame | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Per Se | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Man Bags | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Crusher | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whoa Buddy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | J T’s Watch | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | So I’m Told | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thirty Four Coupe | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Goldeneye | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Keen to Go | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Derecho Dandy | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tallis | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Birth of Cool | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Overrule | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.