Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mega Shack | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Husker Butch | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Munnings | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Captain Dozer | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bolt Forty Five | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rudiano | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Collected Glory | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Nellie | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Luv Map | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peach Street | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sugar Bell | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnightcandystorm | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Clay’s Moon Stone | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elusive Amelia | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | All Good Times | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Dams Atitude | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Laura | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Paisley’s Vision | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Ditty’s Kitty | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweetness To | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reina Del Sur | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Game to Play | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Donna’s Hope | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Clay’s Opal Indy | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Megatap | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Solo | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whiskey Wednesday | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hit One Out | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Herzen | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seaside Boy | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Three for Three | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Bob Bryant S.) – Bob Bryant S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fit and Famous | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Espiridion | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tara’s Time | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Happiness | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dial Sum In | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sing Lucy Sing | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lavender Lil | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mo Choctaw | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Impressor | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Monterey Peninsula | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | C C’s Legacy | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Luna | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Revenir | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reconciling Force | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cole Spur | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.