Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sonofaship | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lou’s Legacy | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Top of the Street | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Higgins Boat | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Call Me Andy | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hailstorm | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Card Trick | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Let’s Go Mark | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Trailing Monster | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Magnificent Mile | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lupo’s Legacy | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forge in Fire | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chitwood | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Philharmonic | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lots of Mischief | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Fever | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | The Big Mozz | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Texas Ted | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Little Steven | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moncrief | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Platinum Ghost | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crepe Yarns | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scat Danz | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | David’s Tuition | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Camp Hope | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hozier | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stitched | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gentle Soul | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | English Bee | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Greyes Creek | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Caddo River | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gray’s Fable | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Trademark | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Play Action Pass | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kentucky Ghost | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Harlan Estate | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pledgeofallegiance | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prodigious Bay | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carmichael | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cool Rags | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ram | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oddsontony | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ghostly Girl | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Frigid Lady | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Need Some Money | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pachanga Loca | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hidewright Away | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Moon Magic Chrissy | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Charlee Mae | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pigalle | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Girl Afraid | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bagboss | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pro Oxidant | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tulane Tryst | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chasing Time | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Howling Time | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Radical Right | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mister Mmmmm | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Divine Leader | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hidden Path | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | A La Carte | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Santorini | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blue Devil | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gamer | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maasai Warrior | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Solid Country Gold | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sam Stormy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Plausible Denile | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Policy Option | 3.50 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unleash the Power | 10.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | He’s a Angel | 30.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Degree of Risk | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Boco | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 19 | 19 | Saqeel | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 17 | 17 | Spartan Army | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 18 | 18 | Tiwanaku | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Western Ghent | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Kentucky Cool | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.