Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ladro Di Fichi | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lovely Liza | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Boss | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fivecommatwo | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Willful Desire | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I Have Courage | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cosmicality | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Willow Wood | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Husband Material | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ballyhoo Prince | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Roan Burgundy | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Mamba | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tulchan | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Strong Finish | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Devil Pays in Gold | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cocktail Dreaming | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Co Gold | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maria From Miami | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Naughty Nan | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Shugs | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bomboloni | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Valiant Vinny | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | E J’s Revenge | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Currency | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Boss Is a Pal | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Papal Law | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amedeus Music | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heads Or Tails | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Just Go With It | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Honor the Fleet | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Northern Thunder | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Antipoison | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forloveofcountry | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shoot Themessenger | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jasontakeslong | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Badger Tooth | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hard Traveler | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Velvet | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Occasional Moon | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sig | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Meno | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blame B B | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sjo Americanempire | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bustermartin Brown | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | King Joey | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 3 | Semper Fi | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Naked and Famous | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Air Token | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Gallant Gold | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Youngest of Five | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | City Rage | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 5 | Great Days Ahead | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Spa City | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Galerio | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ain’t Da Beer Cold | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Everett’s Song | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Double Crown | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Southern District | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tappin Cat | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Ready | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kenner | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Star Shopping | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golquist | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bodyslam | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Super Jordan | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thank Ya Pete | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Landon Jack | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.