Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Bouwerie S.) – Bouwerie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miracle | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| Miracle | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 4 | 4 | Downtown Mischief | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miracle | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midtown Lights | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Les Bon Temps | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Security Code | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Moonage Daydream | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Howdyoumakeurmoney | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shinfull | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Road to Remember | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fleetfooted | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blame It On Mary | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tempermental | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Fist | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Critical Eye S.) – Critical Eye S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Classy Edition | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Venti Valentine | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Let Her Inspire U | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Timeless Journey | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sterling Silver | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ok Honey | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Mike Lee S.) – Mike Lee S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Looms Boldly | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maker’s Candy | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lifetime of Chance | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Etnico | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | What’s Up Bro | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Radio Red | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jackson Heights | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Smokie Eyes | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Waterville | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sals Dream Girl | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Collaboration | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweetest Princess | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kosuke | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Im Just Kiddin | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Recognize | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Jasmine | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dashing Della | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Captivating Cara | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Galley Head | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Succulent | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Red Hot Chick | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Mount Vernon S.) – Mount Vernon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Marvelous Maude | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Runaway Rumour | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sanura | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Finest Work | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Out of Sight | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Early Edition | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Freddymo Factor | 50.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Dancer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Zeebear | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pete N Billy | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | East Coast Girl | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Arm | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Agility | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Daufuskie Island | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pineapple Man | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ocean’s Reserve | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Juggler | 50.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Braciole | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Kingston S.) – Kingston S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | City Man | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jerry the Nipper | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Somelikeithotbrown | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dakota Gold | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Call Me Harry | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Citizen K | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ocala Dream | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rinaldi | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coinage | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Commentator S.) – Commentator S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dr Ardito | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sheriff Bianco | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Curlin’s Wisdom | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bankit | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Barese | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sea Foam | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ouster | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whittington Park | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brooklyn Strong | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Olympic Dreams | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Prince of Pharoahs | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Two for Charging | 50.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shipsational | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Launch Control | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Factually Correct | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Just | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kreesa | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Conquist | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Scherzando | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Art of Courage | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Utamaro | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sharpaz | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Z Dancer | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kid Emerald | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Screw Loose | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | One for My Brother | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Social Sidekick | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Thank You Jon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Unaffected | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.