Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fascinated | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sailor Chow | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Captain Don | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nasty Exaggerator | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rock City Rocket | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Caesartheruler | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | True Emotion | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Love Amplified | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Be My Huckleberry | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Her Name Was Lola | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Choctaw Blessings | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Jill’s Lemon Drop | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Luckyhotstuff | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Simmering | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Add It All Up | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ready to Get Loud | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Confetti Betty | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Eliot Ness | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hacker | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | New Stripe | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Giant Gamble | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | God’s Pick | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hunk of a Hit | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Bet | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Higgam | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sole Survivor | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quarternight | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Billy Who | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sully’s Barron | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spirited Dream | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Let’s Rock N Roll | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Frosted Diamond | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stonecold Stunner | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sassy Ain’t I | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Crypto Mo | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gp’s Amazing Grace | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | War Music | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Opposition | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Handsome Stranger | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lets Rock N Stroll | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Edgy Lover | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Sock Billy | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wily Wade | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tail of Samson | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.