Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gram | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| El Grande O | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 1 | The Wine Steward | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Gram | 1.20 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | El Grande O | 1.20 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Khadullah | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Swept | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lonchura | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Tech Duinn | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pegs A. K. Girl | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Kannon Fire | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pegs A. K. Girl | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga Gaze | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Western Lane | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Snow Loves a Fight | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Duckphat | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Frosty Invasion | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jolly Miss Jill | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon’s Hope | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brunate | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Storm Shooter | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Merchants of Cool | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Star Attitude | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ensign Parker | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bastet | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Undoubtedly | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Virtual Reality | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tower Bridge | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ms. Solveig | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Risk Free | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Butter Cake | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Highly Flammable | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | King Moonracer | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sonic Speed | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Turnsandconditions | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Drakon | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sugar Gray Leonard | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bricco | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 6 | Disarmed | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Starrystarryknight | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Venezuela | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2B | 11 | Charger | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dufresne | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Brisky Frolic | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Angelas Party Girl | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Fantail (GB) | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Everyoneloveslinda | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just a Nyquist | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | More Mango | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Liberty Flame | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tonal Impact | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Galt | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Systemic Change | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Curbstone | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Back Ring Luck | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 5 | Catch That Party | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Barrage | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Frank’s Art | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Battle Scars | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hush of a Storm | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Not Phar Now | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 6 | Agent Creed | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Sundaeswithsandy | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 12 | Ghost Giant | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | K P All Systems Go | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bossmakinbossmoves | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Microsecond | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Orange Freeze | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lem Me Drink | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Shoppingatbloomies | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My June Bug | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bernt Again | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kara Para | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Derwin’s Paynter | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 10 | Deniece of Degrace | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | War Museum | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Midnight Empress | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | My Cara Mia Mine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 13 | Oak Loves a Fight | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Follow the Fed | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.