Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lieutenant Stan | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jay’s Delight | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mexicoffee | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | San Andres | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Adios Your Honor | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Double Down Dennis | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Slam Boy | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Great Kostas | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | De Berard | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Voice an Opinion | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cauteloso | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Major King | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dream of Blessings | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Poseidons Myth | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Slow Decision | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Il Malandrino | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | It’s Me Again | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Danley | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Marley Luck | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Name Dude | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cheerful Charlie | 15.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sea Hunter (IRE) | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vidiano | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bart’s Dream | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Therapy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Typey | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Starship Agenda | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Image of Love | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Goldcrest | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Madaket’s Arrow | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kara and Colleen | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dancing Deb | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Principia | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Writteninthestars | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bella Faccia | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silly Lily | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Gomomischief | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gotta Go Gator | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Order of Magnitude | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sha Tin | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Camp Daddy | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | First Team | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Flay | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Leopardi | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Phraseologism | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Big and Classy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yes I’m a Beast | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Absolute Grit | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Klugman | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Machismo | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Celestial Glaze | 1.80 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Towser | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thataint Tooshabby | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sensitivity | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Downburst | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cindy’s Song | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | No Decaf | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Starry Hope | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Bella | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Smart Spending | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ipanema Princess (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telephone Talker | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Watch the Music | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Winning Factor | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Timmy M. | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Telephone Talker | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bright Devil (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rye Sense of Humor | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sarawat | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unified Conquest | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hrothgar | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thenorthremembers | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cuz | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Marisa’s Mission | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthracite | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Unbridled Honor | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Skipper Too | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Daddy Dave | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Anthracite | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bailador | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Eclipse | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Tone | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stat | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Handicap) – Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Full Disclosure | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hope in Him | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Warrior’s Pride | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chess Master | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Xy Speed | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Capture the Time | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thatsafactjack | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eamonn | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Omaha City | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle B | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Gustavor | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ensign Skip | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dontonio | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Storm Brave | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rough and Rowdy | 3.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Starship Tango | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Organist | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Muntaliq | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Changeordersonny | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome City | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.