Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Talkin Pharoah | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frisky Jim | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Happy Bob | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shakin the Belle | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Al’s Frosted | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Obscured by Clouds | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Run Diem Z | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 5 | Portfolio Company | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Q F Seventy Five | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Space Launch | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Dripping Gold | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Daunt | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Night Jumper | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Tonal Impact | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Broken Spur | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Flowers | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Variable Cost (GB) | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yorkshire Prince | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fire Baron | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Purchase | 30.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mischievous Angel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Winters Lion | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smooth Flyin Mike | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thunderian | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warrior Richard | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alternate Reality | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Life and Light | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Utilization Rate (FR) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Doral | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mirabella | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zappera | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Double Dream | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Empathy | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tres Chic (ARG) | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gifted | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Majority Partner | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Colonel Bowman | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Happy Farm | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Vittorio | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Market Alert | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lost in Rome | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Saffa’s Day | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Soaring Softly S.) – Soaring Softly S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Queen Picasso (GB) | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Lady Beth | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Senior Prank | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Queen Picasso (GB) | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | American Apple | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quarrel | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love Appeals | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Glory Road | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dust Devil | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rocco Strong | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alcools | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pit Boss | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Friends Beer | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blake B. | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Datesfreedom | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Inflation Adjusted | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fighter in the Win | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Danzigwiththestars | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Swing Low | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Afjan | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hold the Salsa | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Z | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spinning Colors | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 10 | 10 | Strictly Taboo | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Loon Cry | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Photon | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Snowy Evening | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lakeside Getaway | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Graceful Rose | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Galatrona | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Autumn | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Big Hazel | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spinning Colors | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Three Cups Full | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sail With the Wind | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Northway | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Ichiban | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dream On Cara | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | She’s a Natural | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.