Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Native Hellraiser | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cheets | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | He’s a Showboat | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Day Money | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Strolln With Stela | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rays Big Dream | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spanish Kiss | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Momma Mule | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I Got a Name | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grandma Belle | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mrs. Macomber | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Relentless Rocket | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Holiness | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Canary Nation | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fancy Hill | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Graydawn Day | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bayshore Foxes | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eli’s Girl | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Winze | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fabulosity | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kamea | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Be Sincere | 2.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Four Point Oh | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stargrazer | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Song of Praise | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Happy Stroll | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ourpeppermintcandy | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ellll E | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Alyanaabi | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go for It | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Inesperado | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Backgate Red | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Itwasthisbig | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gem Collection | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Pines Sandy | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freddy J | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Late for Lunch | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tap the Brakes | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Evil Knievel | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Justice Once | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warren L | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lawless John | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Espe’s Guy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mach Swede | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Franklygreat | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Temple City Run | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Madethedean’slist | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tap On By | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gold Tapper | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kobe’s Cause | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Andy Worhoss | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strollntothemarket | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.