Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dancin Rocket | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whonew | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ring Bearer | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lamelo | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fitzea | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Huey Duey | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Damascus Gate | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shemeansbizness | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Raisin Raisin | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Olive Oyl | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kayla | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hunka Burning Love | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Classic Bet | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heritage Park | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Too Late | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Holiday Ticket | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chicago Chrome | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Explosive Pride | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Constitution Day | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Skyflyer | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Speedbayou | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Joe Bill | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Scopello | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Garbo Speaks | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tropinka | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Javistha | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cheer Up | 2.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Rocker | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reina Del Sur | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Poker Play | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hide the Demon | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Irish Valor | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Graves Mill Road | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pop’s Biscuit | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Higher Authority | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Optimistic Valor | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Handicap) – Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Blaze Away N Hide | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kela’s Turn | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Golden Day | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Angel’s Melody | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bossy Moment | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Samira | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rebel Rising | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Like Trista | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.