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Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 21, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Irish Rose 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Spicybug 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Irresistible Force 12.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Tiff With Jimmy 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 North East Star (IRE) 4.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Mizztify Doll 6.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Chrome Dessert 12.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Kissed by Fire 3.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Dancing Mo 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Settecento 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Wrong Spot 12.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Tembo 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Mongolian Ford 1.40 SCRATCH
2 2 Chickasaw 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cyberviking 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Manitowish 3.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Speight and Malice 4.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Neptune’s Storm 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Baladi 1.80 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Trumped 0 0-1
1 1 Johnny Podres 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Leyas Candy 2.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Six Feet 3.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Chick’s Dig It 15.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Trumped 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Irish Heatwave 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Rock N Rye 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Last Call London 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Mici’s Express 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Thirsty Gambler 15.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Refocus 5.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Mr. Dreamcycle 8.00 4 8-1
9 8 Thirsty Moe 8.00 5 9-1
1 1 Love That Money 8.00 5.4 10-1
8 98 Spot D’ Oro 0.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Shady Appeal 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Desert Code S.) – Desert Code S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Conclude 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 First Peace 1.60 2.5 5-1
1 1 Valiancer 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Mas Rapido (GB) 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Acquired Class 6.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Ransomware 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Mike Operator 0 0-1
1 1 Hapi Hapi 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Mike Operator 10.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Claim of Passion 1.80 4.2 8-1
5 5 Next Revolt 3.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Speeding Style 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Papale 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Crimson Rose 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Stressed 3.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Hayley Levade 6.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Nu Pi Lambda 20.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Doris Mae 3.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 With Love (GB) 4.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Dazzlingdominika 6.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Power Surge 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Havana Angel (IRE) 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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