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Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 21, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Caesartheruler 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Heza Wild Ride 1.80 1.6 3-1
2 2 Munnycantbuymelove 3.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Bottomless 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 My Bobby McGee 10.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Ministry of Art 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lavender Lil 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Kaylor 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Dreaminonthenile 2.00 3 6-1
7 7 Nautical Miss 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Diamond of Ekati 8.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Risky Whisky 4.50 5.9 11-1
1 1 Bit a Bad News 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Nostalgia 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Jazz Brunch 3.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Unherdof 5.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Slushy 1.80 3.6 7-1
1 1 Xcaret 4.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Time Machine 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Ourbestfriend D L 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Ocean Ride 3.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Americain Joey 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Rickey B 12.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Heritage Park 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Sams Time 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kingswood 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Lucky Dude 3.00 3 6-1
8 8 Golden Luna 2.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Unreal 10.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Abundant 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Impressor 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Gabriel’s Legend 12.00 5 9-1
5 5 Dixiemagic 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Handicap) – Handicap

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Basic Chance 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Topper T 1.80 2 4-1
7 7 Our Last Chance 3.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Sir Wally Wally 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Minecraft Maniac 5.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Tin Badge 6.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Woke Up in Love 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Jaysker 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Toska’s Ruler 6.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Ships On Fire 8.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Justa Streak 12.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Running Alex’sband 10.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Allen’s Rocket 4.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 War Ron 3.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Chinlee 5.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 John R 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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