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Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, May 21, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rachels Song 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Queen Deymar 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Grand Birdie 6.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Moontap 4.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Grey Princess 3.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Yankee Storm 20.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Moon Rose 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Lovely Drama 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Carabinero 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Papa Katz 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Gun Maestro 4.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Cross Haste 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Bird Wildcat 2.50 5.1 10-1
4 4 Big Bucksalot 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Camp Daddy 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Forever Uncaptured 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Fortuna Belle 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 Splurge 10.00 2 4-1
1 1 Mo Rissa 4.50 3 6-1
7 7 Uncaptured Skeet 8.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Eilat 3.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Secret of Saratoga 4.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Allons 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 French Franc (FR) 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Charge Account 2.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Funny Enough 10.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Swoonatra 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Kizzy 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Musical Romance (GB) 4.50 4.8 9-1
2 2 Stellarator 15.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Cecil’s Angel 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Courageous Copper 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 Wheatsheaf 6.00 3.4 7-1
4 4 Eternal Flame 10.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Harry’s Onthebeach 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Rare Jewel 10.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Stealththirtyfour 3.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Jet Wings 4.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Joyful Surprise 30.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Capturethelaughter 8.00 8.7 16-1
9 9 On Jet Heir 20.00 10.6 20-1
11 11 Gunman 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Libban 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Starship Phoenix 8.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Mo Town Madison 8.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Ghost Force 2.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Can’t Stop 3.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Vibing 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Amarula Sun 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Calling All Angels (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 R Rose’ All Day 5.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Drum Roll 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Cloud Storage 4.50 4 7-1
5 5 Armonia 12.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Coco 6.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 She’s So Bearrish 12.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Royal Jubilee 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Starship Legend 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Zosterop 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 I Believe in Magic 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Hope Over Fear 4.50 1.9 3-1
4 4 Great Analogy 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Viva La Red 6.00 5 9-1
1 1 Miss Ucrania 6.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Upstreet 3.50 5.9 11-1
3 3 Funtastica 20.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Here’s Perfection 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Millennium Condo 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Blue Soldier 8.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Doc Ballard 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Chief Rocka 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Once Upon a Dream 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Dunkle 3.50 5.5 10-1
2 2 Finlandias Neat 20.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Sky Katz 8.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Freddie’s Fire 20.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Always Golden 30.00 9.3 18-1
12 12 Straight Time 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Drama’s Gold 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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