Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Norgay | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prince of Joy | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prayer Book | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Centavo | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Voliero | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mighty Meister | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sonic Speed | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Arrio | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hilliard | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Invective | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hey There | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jet Set Juliet | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Save Grace | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aeron Warrior | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Rosie Diamonds | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Handle the Truth | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ricelle | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Dark Vector | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | American Know How | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Purchase | 50.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Venge | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Somama Beach | 50.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Boat to Skye | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Arrow of Time | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Paxsational | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Cumberland | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Balthazar | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Royal Velvet | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Film Star | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Oglethorpe | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Constitutionlawyer | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Luni Sima | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Complete Agenda | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Soulmate | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Shutters | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Danzigwiththestars | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Good Medicine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Emboite (IRE) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Irwin (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Activist Investing (GB) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Milton the Monster | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Business Model | 1.20 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Back Ring Luck | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Two Thirty Five | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thinkaboutit | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Black Belt | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | More Than Work | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nolo Contesto | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Be the Boss | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bobby the Tank | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | King James | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Starrystarryknight | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Hatch | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Winning Connection | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Lord Gatling | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Don’t Let Me Down | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mach One | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | King Moonracer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | He’s Got It | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Predicted | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Highly Flammable | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Song Parody | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Miss Stones | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fancy Joke | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Try It Again | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Song Parody | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Moon | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clover Street | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Reigning Chick | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fancy Feline | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Luna’s Song | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Honest Banker | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Big Engine | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Awesome Native | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Brew Pub | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Foolish Ghost | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Horn of Plenty | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bar Fourteen | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ghost Giant | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Me ‘n Sap | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Phantom Smoke | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Saint Selby | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Yarrow | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 2 | Rough Draft | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Frank’s Art | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 14 | Unique Unions | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Splashy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Danseur d’Oro | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Foxy Cara | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jessica’s Ride | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Krystalheir | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s a Nine | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Unholy | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | North End Lady | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.