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Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, May 20, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Ranseur 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Chenti 3.50 2.5 5-1
10 10 Tumiga 15.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Fortheloveofart 3.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Acamar 4.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Fivefive Six Champ 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Make ‘Em Tap 20.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Dollar Bill 15.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Carsown 12.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Norfie 15.00 6.6 12-1
11 11 Attenti Mandatory 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Radiant Gem 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Khosea 3.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Money Factor 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Scenic View 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Morning Colors 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Dancingwthdaffodls 3.50 6.3 12-1
1 1 La Rusia 3.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tepper 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Money Map 1.40 1.6 3-1
2 2 Hubris 4.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Eden Paradise 5.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Major Deal 20.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Fast N Steady 20.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Village Preacher 20.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Gunman 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Ambushed 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Southern Dream 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Mo Vanishing 1.60 1.5 3-1
3 3 Twirling Express 2.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Wild Guess 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Dontonio 12.00 5 9-1
6 6 Heart N Soul 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Memories R Magic 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Find Your Passion 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Sponger 4.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Temerity 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 L. E. Gray 5.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Sturdy Girl 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Killargue’s Girl 30.00 7 13-1
5 5 India Pilaga (ARG) 30.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Velocissima 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Light and Path 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hustle Queen 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Mi Corazon 3.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Hydria 20.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Always Connected 3.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Beer Bali 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Blazingly 8.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Britney Spurs 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Castle Born 20.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Gilded Charmrose 30.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Interesting Gem 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Lieutenants Sequel 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Gold for My Lady 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Empire Attraction 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Swashbuckle 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Grape Nuts Warrior 4.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 My Man Flint 10.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Most Wanted Man 5.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Catatumbo 4.50 5.5 10-1
4 4 Kinison 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Dream Knight 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Ajaayb 2.50 1.6 3-1
9 9 Bernardo’s Legacy 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Tejota 12.00 4.2 8-1
12 12 Nico’s Having Fun 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Midnight Chaos 30.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Luscious Dancer 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Papa Del Cielo 15.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Delta Rising 8.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Redisur 20.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Perfect Moon 30.00 9.3 18-1
11 11 King Zam 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 My Rock Dream 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Handicap) – Handicap

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 One Identity 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Talkin Tipsy 10.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Fulminate 10.00 2.5 5-1
12 12 Choose Joy 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Tracy Ann’s Legacy 5.00 3.6 7-1
11 11 Basking 15.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 St. Pat’s Day 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Lady Frijoles 20.00 7 13-1
10 10 Nikee Kan 15.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Showgirl Lynne B 30.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 War of Ages 30.00 9.9 19-1
8 8 Arella Star 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Big Drama S.) – Big Drama S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Starship Renegade 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Picking Up Pennies 6.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Dean Delivers 2.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Stormy Pattern 20.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Avant Glory 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Gangly 4.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Big and Classy 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Proverb 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 American Prince 5.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Confessor 12.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Hercules 3.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Another Duke 12.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Trappezoid 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Man On the Moon 4.50 4.9 9-1
9 9 War Cross 12.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Heffner 30.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Euphoria Star 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Roar S.) – Roar S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dr Oseran 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Mooncapture 6.00 2.6 5-1
11 11 Portofino 10.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Wide West (IRE) 8.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Jetaros 15.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Harry Time (IRE) 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Extendo 3.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Cooler King 20.00 4 7-1
5 5 My Man Ira 20.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Uncaptured Star 30.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Grand Bey 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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