Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Myopic | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peekacho | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Celerity | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bajan Rum | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ferryboat | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Co Conspirator | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Estilo Peligroso | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Our Team | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Back to Normal | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Frappucino | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kentucky Bourbon | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Western Command | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spurs Up | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | The Club | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Center Stage | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Cat Lady | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Proud Foot | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Klimt’s Muse | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Need Some Money | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sonador | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Golden Runner | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tiger Tap | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Words of Praise | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Army Kitten | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Callie’s Grit | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Guns n’ Lilies | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Bag Lady | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Lily Mae | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Boppy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Milieu | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Paint Me Perfect | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Calm Cool | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Birdie Rose | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Time to Race | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Heavenly Appointed | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Hola Gata | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Classic Mark | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Freeze Pop | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Judo | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Code Violation | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oneparticulrharbor | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mac’s Time | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Miss Arlington | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swanson Lake | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pelican Lane | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ruby Tap | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sassy Walker | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Islandinthestream | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spicy Italian | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chilled Fireball | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saucy Secret | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tivy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chiseler | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Street Swagg | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Gold Luck | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Got the Bob | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gabe | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Snark | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Woodbine Way | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Devine Charger | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Secret Money | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Osiria | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Numero Seis | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Daisy Bee | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Massard | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | All That | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Goldblooded | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lure’em In | 4.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mischievous Doll | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | American Heights | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Manorelli | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Vinegar Veggies | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Sure Can | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hardly Mischievous | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | You’re Avoiding Me | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bali Dreamin | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Obrigada | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Halo of Fire | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ms Hayley | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ellie Deli | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sure Enough | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | De’ Ans Eighty | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dre Me Less | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | With This Ring | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lacie Be Good | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Hot Mess | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Irene | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Green Fairy | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mirus | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Driana | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yanira | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Army Girl | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Commencement | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Louisville S.) – Louisville S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tiz the Bomb | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Another Mystery | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bay Street Money | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Time for Trouble | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mount Rundle | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | English Conqueror | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Foreign Relations | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Therapist | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Yamato | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Limited Liability | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Smokey Lee | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.