Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Devil Moon | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Snapp Daddy | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charlie’s Ghost | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chao Phraya | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bolt From Heaven | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mafia Man | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Coach Ott | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zafiro Anejo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Flatterwithjewels | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roman Empress | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shvere Arbeter | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Splicer | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Renegade Princess | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Ransom | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bronko Nagurski | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eddie’s Last | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Commissioner H | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Defensor Fortis | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unzip Me Lord | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fried Asparagus | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gypsy Lynn | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lov U Mean It | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Storm d’Oro | 3.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tenacious Lady | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Modera | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Touchdown Kittle | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle John | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | San Jac | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Infiniteexperience | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maxville | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sanger | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Stylishlyacclaimed | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Looks Rare | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Excel Calculator | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stonks | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Riverside | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ever a Rebel | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sam Malone | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quality Cat | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zihuatanejo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Golden Again | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sell the Dream | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Court Snort | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uncontrollable | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Hopes | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Sis Little Sis | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zzyzx | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Street Mogul | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ice Storm | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Donttestyourluck | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Deep River | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pars and Birdies | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Samba Flavor | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chief Council | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Danz Till Ten | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Never Sorry | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.