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Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 18, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Run for Cover 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 Tovia 4.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Breaking Bullet 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Biotechnology 4.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Romashka 20.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Lemon Lush 15.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Adios Jude 30.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Sea Pearl 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Luminant 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Avellino 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Las Colinas 8.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Sugar N Spice 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 Florindia 30.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Briseida 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Sweet Judy Blue 6.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Mist 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hay Hay Paula 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Runaway Breeze 4.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Shes the North 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Island Magic 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Check the Grade 20.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Awesome Apeal 3.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 The Great Kath 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 O Gangster 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Racket 3.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Admiral’s Wave 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 For the Chief 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Media Sensation 3.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Riverboat Richie 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Ambor Night 15.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Walt Whitman (IRE) 6.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Organist 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Living Water 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Uranium 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Blakenstein 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Newyearsblockparty 5.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Sovereign of Speed 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Nature Boy 20.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Federal Exchange 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Anna’s Dream 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Rachel’s Rock 2.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Adios Baby 4.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Soy Una Dama (CHI) 5.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Beatiful Karla 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Practica Cat (CHI) 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Built Different 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Reconnecting 5.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 One Track Mine 30.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Zisisit (IRE) 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 Country Jewel 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Major Pryce 4.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Beastie Girl 12.00 4 8-1
2 2 Wicklow Gal 20.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Hope Over Fear 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rising Heat 15.00 1 2-1
2 2 Katz That Gal 6.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Tapple Cider 3.50 4 8-1
5 5 Shea D Secret 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 South Pacific 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Bella Miura 3.50 5 9-1
4 4 Hollywood Honey 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Valiant Miss 30.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Spirit of Power 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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