Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Early Munny | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stormquist | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gold Sweep | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rhyme Schemes | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trailing Monster | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Rush Is On | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Top of the Street | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wilson Q | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Works for Me | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | A Little Bit Crazy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Puglia | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Gal | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tribal Spirit | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beach Kitten | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Floris | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Monocacy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Devil’s Cay | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frog Town | 3.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cowboy Values | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Beemster | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Oddsontony | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Atkins | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Sharpie | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chambers Bay | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Humor Me Now | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hay Stack | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Such Sounds | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Joyful Applause | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Elle Est Forte | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Queen Judith | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Divinely Bolt | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chaton Rouge | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Frivole (FR) | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Loved Reiko | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweets Maker | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | La Tourista | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Colonel Aby B | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | I Feel the Need | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Implosion | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mo Moves | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kupp | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | All Jokes Aside | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Boudin | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Time to Meddle | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Iceatude | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Run for Reagan | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sergeant Countzler | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moonovermontgomery | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Stayinyourlane | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Secret | 6.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sippican Shop | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Intrepid Heart | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | King’s Ovation | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Outlier | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roman Centurian | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zoomer | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Order and Law | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Disc Jockey | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Koufax | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fancy Martini | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 12 | 12 | Fancy Martini | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blissful | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | One Time Mo | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bhoma | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Forever Dreaming | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pharoah’s Song | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Manuca (BRZ) | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Puchi | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She’s Gone | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Under One Sky | 6.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tap Dancing Lady | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Kathaan | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Willow Bend | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Talbeyah (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mise En Scene (GB) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penumbras Maker | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Penumbras Maker | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fancy | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Inventing Anna | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Never Tell Patti | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Freedom for All | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nursekringledances | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Church Service | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Take Shape | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stunningly | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Beautiful Bolt | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.