Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ragtime Blues | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Colonel Bowman | 1.20 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Scilly Cay | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heir Port | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Reed Kan | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alcools | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lost in Rome | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | First Deputy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Silver Seeker | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lord Gatling | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Soulmate | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bold Journey | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ohtwoohthreefive | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Paros | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Elusive Edge | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Three Zero | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Winning Drive | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 12 | My Friends Beer | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Allaboutthemoney | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 9 | Luni Sima | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Forty Two Ace | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cumberland Blues | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Worker | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Norgay | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cheeky Tico | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blu Grotto | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hang Tight | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Centavo | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lil Bro Coop | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Colloquy | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mandatory | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fromanothamutha | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Breadman | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magical Ways | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mach One | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Inspeightoftrainer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Man O’ War S.) – Man O’ War S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Red Knight | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Channel Maker | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Verstappen | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Howe Street | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Warren Point (GB) | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Soldier Rising (GB) | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Value Engineering | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strong Tide | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Peter Pan S.) – Peter Pan S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Classic Catch | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bishops Bay | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Go Soldier Go | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Cause | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Henry Q | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arcangelo | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Asmodeus | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Game Change | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Slip Mahoney | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Miracle Mike | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | War Prince | 12.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Your Mission | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Silent Running | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barry the Builder | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tunnel Vision | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Waflr | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mama Banned Me | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fast Study | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Michael Leis | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Academy Choice | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fluorescent Bay | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Forward Cast | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Campbelito | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Metamorphoses | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Eternal Glory | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sandrone | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heymackit’sjack | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Athenry | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Feathers Road | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Twenty Six Black | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Power Attack | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Starquist | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | King Moonracer | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Braciole | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Camm’ Duke | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Runhappy S.) – Runhappy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drafted | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Beren | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twisted Ride | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Man Rocket | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Phil | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Drafted | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stage Left | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Get Your Kicks | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Free Look | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Juniper’s Moon | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Alpha Bella | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Spansive | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tryinmyheartout | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Essaouira | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Bengala Joy | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Stephanie’s Charm | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 8 | La Vita Sofia | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Binsky | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Mo Damorninggrouch | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ma Mi Jo Dreams | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Central Speed | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boss of All | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Never Personal | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Empress | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Follow the Fed | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | George’s Vice | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rent Control | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Linarite | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sarah’s Dialed In | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Caiarossa | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | My Cara Mia Mine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Purest Performance | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Ukrainian Princess | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Queens Over Threes | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.