Site icon Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 12, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Far Above 0 0-1
6 6 Confer 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Queen Rocket 1.60 1.3 2-1
5 5 Far Above 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Bullet Valentina 12.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 La Dame de Fer 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Planet Frolic 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Kharkiv 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Can’t Be Broken 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Gotta Like Him 1.20 2.5 5-1
3 3 W. P. Cadet 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Classic Bourbon 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Joe Irish 30.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Florida Star 30.00 6 11-1
5 5 Red Gun 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Oaxaca 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Trevess 2.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Lovin Makes Cents 15.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Flying Black 4.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Sequin Lady 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Drinks On Me 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Pink Party Pants 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 For the Thrill 5.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 She Knows It All 1.60 3.3 6-1
7 7 Vimisofa 5.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Show Me Love 20.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Sharp Pippa 3.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Sprint Breaker 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Prefect 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Veloce 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Officer Country 30.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Unleveraged 10.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Eden Paradise 20.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Summer Shandee 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Silent Chaos 20.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Valid Exchange 30.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Timmy M. 2.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Castagno 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hello Sucker 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Blue Soldier 10.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Sir Goosa 2.00 3 6-1
4 4 Dontkissdaminister 2.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Networking 4.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Paradise Drive 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Spy Town 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hialeah Hottie 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Tap’er Light 3.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Awesome Pic 2.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Girvin Girl 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Olga 3.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Chasing Silver 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Queen Karima 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 Oak Street Beach 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Regards 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Cindylouwho 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Feline 5.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Longing for Mints 15.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Compass Fire 12.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Dancing Deb 15.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version