Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mischief Joke | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whatchatalkinabout | 1.20 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Subscribed | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Antonio of Venice | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Follow Your Arrow | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tech Duinn | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ship Cadet | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heathcliff | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twisted Filigree | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mourne Mountains | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drew d’Oro | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reapply | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Air Invasion | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Win for Gold | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Naked and Famous | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nolo Contesto | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jester’s Song | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Always Charming | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charlie Five O | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Alternate Reality | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Crowding Out | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spicy Margarita | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Strong Odor | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jill’s a Hot Mess | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Itsakeyper | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | More Mango | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Proper Grammar | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jackie the Joker | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Limani | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wine Goddess | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mrs Bell | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alice Kramden | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Inner Voice | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Derwin’s Paynter | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bustinroxy | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Magnolia Wind | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | My Malibu Honey | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scherzer | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Forallthegirls | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Special Pal | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| You Look Cold | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | You Look Cold | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kant Hurry Love | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bank On Anna | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Milagro | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Customerexperience | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rosebug | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hydra | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dontmesswithtess | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Principessa | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Susie’s Saver | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Divine Wine | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Except Temptation | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady of Thoroton | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Synonymous | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Freudian | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | From Hello | 6.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Frosty Invasion | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lola Flo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Gold Fever S.) – Gold Fever S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Squire Creek | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Andiamo a Firenze | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joey Freshwater | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Drew’s Gold | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tuskegee Airmen | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prove Right | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Love to Shop | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’m Glad (IRE) | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wonder Girl | 15.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Reflexivity (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | St. Benedicts Prep | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tactical Joke | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rugelach | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Quiescent | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | May Fane | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Show Sammy Jo (GB) | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dark Princess | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.