Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cynane | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 6 | 6 | Marco T. | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amirati | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sam’s Treasure | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chitarra (IRE) | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cynane | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lonchura | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just the Oaks | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Follow Your Arrow | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Chase | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Squid Gamer | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ormstown | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Morethanafeeling | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red D G P | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bettrluckythangood | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Richiesgotgame | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daunt | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbonic | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dreams of Tomorrow | 1.20 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | St Anthony | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Empty Tomb | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Curlin’s Wisdom | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Silver Skillet | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Juliana’s Rose | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Liberty Flame | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cinderella’s Cause | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scott Alaia | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Racing Colors | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweetie | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Loose Goose | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smoke and Heat | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pressure | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bert Bert Bert | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Keen Heir | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Water Flow | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dreaming of Smarty | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Box Office Warrior | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ok Honey | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vegas Weekend | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Run Devil | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beautiful Karen | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chaysenbryn | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gringotts | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Keen Dancer | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Greatest Love | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Aggregation | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Full Moon Fever | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hush of a Storm | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Masked Marauder | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Daddy Knows | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Banker | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Olympic Dreams | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | My Sea Cottage (IRE) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Spirit | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Parquetry | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Our Country | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Timbuktu | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uragano | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Skylander | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Great Workout | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Achilles Heel | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shinsun | 8.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Mandatory | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Addicted to You | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Urban Myth | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mauritius | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Colloquy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Fromanothamutha | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pioneering Spirit | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mad Magic | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Second and Reed | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lookin Grand | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stjames | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moonflyer | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stormandy | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Peja Du | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Steady Scheming | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Variable Cost (GB) | 3.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Elevated Causeway | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | East Side | 10.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Theregoesmymiracle | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Sway’sinmydna | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Chess Spectacular | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Carlin Clan | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.