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Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 5, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Busker Allie 0 0-1
4 4 Classymademoiselle 12.00 1 2-1
7 7 Busker Allie 5.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Sweet Heidelberg 4.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Movinglikeawinner 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Slam Diego 2.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Peppermint Flirt 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Violet Storm 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tiz a Master 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Crown Kitten 6.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Drizella 5.00 4 8-1
1 1 Righteously 4.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Rain Diva 2.50 4.5 9-1
4 4 Sailing Along 10.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Hillstone Martini 3.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Flat Out Joy 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Miss Fia 3.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Youteyourhonor 3.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Professors’ Pride 10.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Rock the Bourbon 4.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Splicer 12.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Too Much Heaven 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Quick Buck 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Indulge 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Deservedly 2.00 3 6-1
4 4 Big Hat Willie 2.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Spiritist 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Trusty Rusty 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Oubabe 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Talklessworkmore 2.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Worse Read Sanchez 3.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Shortman 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 J T’s Watch 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Clouseau 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Mystification 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Captain Choochies 8.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Stavros 4.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Emerald Union 15.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Mohawk Sun 8.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Del Mar Jerry 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Sir Atticus 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Midnight Fury 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Truehood 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Doncic 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Wyfire 4.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Law Abiding 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Marks Hip 6.00 4 8-1
8 8 Kant Beat the Rock 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Inch 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Westward Look 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Thunderheart 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Crew Dragon 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Starship Defiant 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Race Judicata 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Sensible Move 5.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Rose Harbor 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Act of Serendipity 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Tizzy Twister 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Point and Shoot 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Magic Game 2.50 1 2-1
10 9 Square Fun 12.00 1.3 3-1
3 2 Smoove as Silk 4.00 1.8 3-1
6 5 Roubaix 12.00 2.6 5-1
2 1 Organic 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Golden Microphone 3.00 5.6 11-1
11 10 Beautiful World 20.00 6.1 12-1
5 4 Annie’s Hope 12.00 6.1 12-1
8 7 Sit Look and Hope 5.00 6.6 12-1
7 6 Warrior Lady 8.00 SCRATCH
1 98 Ms Moab 0.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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