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Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, May 4, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Corporate Affair 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Catatumbo Lightnin 4.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Mousefast 3.50 4.3 8-1
8 8 Seize the Breeze 3.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Redjack 10.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Drama’s Gold 6.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 Preston Murray 8.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Fort Attitude 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cherokee 1.20 1 2-1
2 2 Stiletto Heels 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Scootaloo 4.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Amidst Waves 2.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Miss Athletic 20.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 My Sweetheart Dani 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Camp Daddy 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Canal 6.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Seven Bridges Road 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Father Glado 4.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Hashtag No Wonder 4.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 Stride 3.50 5.4 10-1
3 3 Order of Magnitude 6.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Lookinassah 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lost a Legend 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Grand Player 8.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Assert Dominance 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Lee Ann’s Warrior 12.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Sir Kahn 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Golden Soda 1.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sterling Harmony 1.20 1 2-1
7 7 Rocky Chitu 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Beganingreenpoint 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Smooth Motion 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Eightninego 3.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Attenti Mandatory 12.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Florida Star 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bailador 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Megacity 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Bemma’s Boy 1.40 1.1 2-1
6 6 Glider 5.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Surrogate 30.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Shadizaar 15.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Swing Low 15.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 A Rose for Raven 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Valiant Avenger 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Apocalypso 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 J P Hellish 3.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Souper Legacy 6.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Keanu 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Uncle Armando 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Smart Striker 5.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Pluma Roja 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Happy Runner 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Vanishing Interest 4.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Big Martini 4.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Jackson’s Webb 12.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Danzig Chips 3.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Chrome Ghost 4.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Midnight Chaos 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Bernardo’s Legacy 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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