Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Princesa Celina | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Round the Town | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Slainte Mhath | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leslie’s Loot | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Just the Oaks | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Icy Stare Down | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brisky Frolic | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fantail (GB) | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Princess Pinky | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just a Nyquist | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crowding Out | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Redzilla | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lola Flo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Secret Time (GER) | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Caribbean (AUS) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Hammerin Aamer | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gentleman Joe | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Grumps Little Tots | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Durkin’s Call | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Pit Boss | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Sailor Speed | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dark Storm | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lady Jasmine | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smokie Eyes | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Collaboration | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Freddymo Factor | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Amanda’s Folly | 1.60 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Captivating Cara | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saratoga Gaze | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sals Dream Girl | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Waterville | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Not Phar Now | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Inflation Adjusted | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Al’s Rocket | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Q F Seventy Five | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Afjan | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fighter in the Win | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hold the Salsa | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Breakwater | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Centavo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Ouster | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Affable Monarch | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | She Caught My Eye | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maggie T | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vodkatini | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dashing Della | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Icy Reply | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | R Girl Faith | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Carbon | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wishing On a Star | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Mystery | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunset Louise | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dufresne | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bustin Bay | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My First Love | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | B B’s Busted | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mia Bea Star | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Amity Island | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Doctor Jeff | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Turn of Events | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Seven Scents | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Package | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fluid Situation | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Runningwscissors | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Momos | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grooms All Bizness | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Marvalous Mike | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Emerald Forest | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | H P Moon | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Twenty Four Mamba | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 10 | Loon Cry | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ace Up Her Sleeve | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mz Big Bucks | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Phinneys Harbor | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Graceful Rose | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Admire My Crown | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 13 | Midnite Confession | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Power and Glory | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Voleuse | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Cerretta | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Snowy Evening | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Spinning Colors | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Lakeside Getaway | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.