Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kore Kinetic | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Eyed Soul (IRE) | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Imperial Thunder | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saddle Up | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dunphy | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gewurztraminer | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Express Cruiser | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Commissioner Dan | 30.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boy Por Uno | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nurcan | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Monet Never (IRE) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Charging | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Liquid Addiction (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | McGolden | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ev’s Sherman | 50.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Say It Loud | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Beer Run | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alibi Ike | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One for My Brother | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Devils Red | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Man Can | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Home Run Hank | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Forcible Entry | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Saturday Long Legs | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Eternal Bliss | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Brazilian Fury | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madison Luvs Duke | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | High Heater | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miacomet | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Madison Luvs Duke | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wolfe County | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Idratherbeblessed | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lemonadeatthelatch | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deputy Connect | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catnip | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 9 | 9 | Catnip | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reward Night | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rally Squirrel | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Exact Estimate | 1.40 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gamer | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Policy Option | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Juulstone | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arabian Prince | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | O P Firecracker | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Baj | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Just an Opinion | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brightwork | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unmatched | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barbtourage | 0.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crimson Advocate | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Whatta World | 30.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Titania’s Dream | 30.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Argan | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Little Music | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bandit Queen | 30.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Stairstep Toheaven | 30.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bootsy’s Merlot | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Green Chile | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Boyne Valley | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bound for Nowhere | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Divine Leader | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Infinite | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Johnny Unleashed | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Our Shot | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Purple Dream | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nero | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gallant Guy | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Friar Laurence | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | He’smyhoneybadger | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dog Red | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One Giant Leap | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Libertango | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vassar’s Boy | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gold Luck | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seven Flat | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bravo Kitten | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Broadway Boogie | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Light Stars (FR) | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Flatter Me Silly | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shad Nation | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Yearwood | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Arsinoe | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Federalist Papers | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ya Beauty (GB) | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.