Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Morethanreadyeddie | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Mamba | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alottacents | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pudge Boy Palace | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Your Analysis | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amity Road | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kenner | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twice Gold | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Star Shopping | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Red Eagle | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marched | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Quincannon | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Super Jordan | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pressing Concern | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carmichaelspioneer | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | His Royal G | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Destin’s Mission | 8.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thank Ya Pete | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Native Dancer S.) – Native Dancer S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nimitz Class | 0.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Cork | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vance Scholars | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forewarned | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nostalgic Run | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (King T. Leatherbury S.) – King T. Leatherbury S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Carotari | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Shot | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grateful Bred | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Breezy Gust | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Determined Kingdom | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kadri | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | That’s Right | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | E J’s Revenge | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lantau | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Brilliant Ice | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sponsored | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magic Mule | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zen Master | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Abuelo Paps | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catch the Smoke | 4.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Manolito | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smooth Flyin Mike | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Bump N Run | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rock the Boat | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Monster Mason | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Court and Spark | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Wish Me Home | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Benny Havens | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tauber | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Currency | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whenigettoheaven | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Mr. Shades of Gray | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Celtic Sea | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pickin Sea Glass | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bustinupishardtodo | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Tapio | 15.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Opposites Attract | 20.00 | 14.9 | 28-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Minister for Magic | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Primonetta S.) – Primonetta S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Princess Kokachin | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Street Lute | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moody Woman | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oxana | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prodigy Doll | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fuhgeddaboudit | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Henry S. Clark S.) – Henry S. Clark S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dee Jay | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ocala Dream | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | You Must Chill | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Double Crown | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | English Bee | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cannon’s Roar | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sky’s Not Falling | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smokin’ T | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Helms Deep | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Run Around Slew | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quantum Light | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ruthanne | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stormin’ Amanda | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | How Sweet She Is | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goldrush Hottie | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fly High | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Punkin | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Captain Courtney | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Dahlia S.) – Dahlia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Surprisingly | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Takntothecleaners | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Regal Realm | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Double Fireball | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tic Tic Tic Boom | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Deciding Vote | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sopran Basilea (IRE) | 3.50 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | In My Opinion | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Carol Ann (IRE) | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Misty Mauve | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dats a Superstar | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Lancer | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Despite the Gin | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Victorian Riviera | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tulip Lil | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I Have Courage | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tipsy Tourist | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Biz as Usual | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.