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Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, April 20, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mist 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Cherokee 3.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Sun Azteca 4.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Briseida 8.00 2 4-1
3 3 She Has Class 15.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Florindia 20.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Bucchera 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Avellino 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mr Tito’s 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Rhymes Like Dimes 4.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Create Again 5.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Perfect Cut 3.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Lease 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Hard Belle 2.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Solomons Gold 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Eventful 3.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Super Unison 20.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Starship Tango 8.00 6 11-1
4 4 Seize the Breeze 5.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Sound Doctrine 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Fatih 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Black Ice 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Ria Formosa 3.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Trotting Gear 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Marthamaywhovier 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Wolf Rayet 4.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Quickstyle 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Show Me Love 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Lady Bourbon 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bravo Zulu 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Spectacular Gal 4.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Danger 20.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Boston Princess 5.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Morning Colors 4.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 French Franc (FR) 1.80 3.9 7-1
6 6 Starry Hope 20.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Thataint Tooshabby 8.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Money Factor 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Charge Account 2.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Demogorgon 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Wildcat Star 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Ave Fenix 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Breaking Bullet 1.40 3.1 6-1
4 4 She’s Red Hot 30.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Sallie Seville 6.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Amor Victorious 20.00 6 11-1
3 3 Gone Oasis 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Parchita 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Sturdy Girl 6.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Flag Woman 3.50 2 4-1
2 2 Moor Strength 2.50 2.4 4-1
6 6 Strike Jak 12.00 4 7-1
1 1 Nucci 15.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 My Lady James 4.50 5 9-1
7 7 Girl Bye 15.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Get a Grip Marilyn 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Alternate Rock 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Dontlookbackatall 1.40 4.1 8-1
3 3 Scottish Symphony 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Lady Azteca 6.00 5 10-1
1 1 Impetuous Molly 8.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Jellicle Katz 20.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Fast Kimmie 20.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 X Y Lady 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Blind Spot 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Coppermaster 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Adios Your Honor 8.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Big Balloons 2.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Luscious Dancer 6.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Papa Del Cielo 10.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Catchhimandfreehim 15.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Mr Joke 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Cauteloso 30.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Mousefast 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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