Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | American Pure | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ricochet | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pure Panic | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Masai Man | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sea to Success | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Picasso | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Surf and Turf | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beaver Hat | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kiss You Later (IRE) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elle Est Forte | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m So Sorry | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Luminist | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sinfiltre | 3.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cecilita | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Livy B | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | In Lieu | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Dom Gervasio | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kick Rocks Kid | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hooey | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shacklesfly | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Hocus | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chowmein | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Midway Miracle | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Silvestre | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Booyah | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Invasive | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Snow | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Manchester | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Kvetching Maw | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Donegal Danny | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Bluegrass Lute | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Breeze Rider | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gam’s Mission | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bubble Rock | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Freedom Speaks | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Henrietta Topham | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Hideaway | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Peaceful Waters | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Under Oath | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Remuda | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Divine Leader | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flint Ridge | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Top of the Charts | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fitzpatrick | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Embrace | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Minnesota Ready | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Let My People Go | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Brigade Commander | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Tap | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saudi Crown | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zed | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Springs | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Deliberation | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Papa Alden | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arno | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Briterdayzahead | 8.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wild Thinker | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Palisades S.) – Palisades S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden Nugget | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Gaslight Dancer | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bushido | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crispy Cat (GB) | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Private Creed | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | No Nay Hudson (IRE) | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Two of a Kind | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Golden Nugget | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Storm Daddy | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Damon’s Mound | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Olazabal | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fadethenoise | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chiringo | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | New York Thunder | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Beaumont S. Presented By Keeneland Select) – Beaumont S. Presented By Keeneland Select
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Key of Life | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stonewall Star | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s On the Rocks | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Opus Forty Two | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Interpolate | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shoplifter | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fun and Feisty | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Solid Tune | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Boudoir Burlesque | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bel Aria | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Knowing Glance | 1.20 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fabricate | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Super Cat Lady | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ma Cherie | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lilly Chrome | 50.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lamasco | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.