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Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, April 16, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Racket 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Kinison 3.50 2.1 4-1
9 9 Phobia 4.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Media Sensation 5.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Quick Quick Whit 8.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Dollar Bill 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Locke and Key 6.00 3 6-1
8 8 Decisive Pride 20.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Unstoppable Appeal 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 No Man Left Behind 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Glorious Tribute 1.80 1.2 2-1
4 4 Exuma (IRE) 4.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Free Shipping 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Dream of a Day 3.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Eyes of Champion 12.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 T Ville 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Unsociable 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Hope in Him 3.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 No Angel 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Famous Gent 2.50 4.5 8-1
2 2 Rolling On 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Richy 6.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Major Wager 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Powertrain 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Fifty One Fifty 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Muntaliq 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 How Surprising 3.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 King Zam 5.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Frosty the Soldier 6.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Champagne Shores 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Globes 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Big Save 5.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Starship Wizard 4.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Readyseekgo 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Solar Tap 4.50 4.6 9-1
8 8 Bluto’s Candy 8.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Tepper 8.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Capture Mi 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ocean Club 3.00 1 2-1
9 9 Lendhercredit 4.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 California Way 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Exclusive Joni 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Goldcrest 15.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Starship Agenda 15.00 3.9 7-1
10 10 Epic Miss Justice 10.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Etna’s Napper 30.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Schumer 4.50 6.8 13-1
6 6 Literate 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Poet’s Woods 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Singing the Oldies 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Atthecrossroads 2.50 1.1 2-1
5 5 Cajun Tease 6.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Looking for Hope 3.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Carlotuk 3.50 3 6-1
6 6 Olga 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Best Defense 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Marley Luck 2.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Face Abarrio 8.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 National Unity 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Bourbon Therapy 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Undalay 12.00 4 8-1
5 5 No Deliberation 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gooch Go Bragh 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Catatumbo 3.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Advance Cash 5.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Inhalation (GB) 12.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Warp Speed Baby 4.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Runaway Harry 10.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Stage Ready 30.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Cheyenne’s Colonel 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 My Boy Blue 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Restored Order 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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