Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Makart | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pot of Gold | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boys Code | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | West Star | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Connect the Brocks | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Impulsive Spending | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bear’s Correct | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Honey Money | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Movie Moxy | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Fudge | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pharoah’s Heart | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Buzzy | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Halo City | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Plenty Of Grace S.) – Plenty Of Grace S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Malavath (IRE) | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Impazible Donna | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whitebeam (GB) | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Evvie Jets | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Runaway Rumour | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spirit And Glory (IRE) | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Toned Up | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| Evvie Jets | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | I’mhavingamoment | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fancy Joke | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Return | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Security Code | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starry Midnight | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Mine | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joeybignose | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2B | 11 | Sharp Pippa | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 8 | Yukon | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Liana B | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 13 | La Grotte | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wonder Girl | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 2 | Solevo Spritz | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tap It Up | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 5 | Bella Cosa | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 1 | Rum Runner Ready | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 12 | Herecomes Scarlett | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1A | 14 | Baby Sox | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Aunt Berra | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 3 | Becauseofthebrave | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 6 | 4 | Graceful | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stage Raider | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Curlin’s Wisdom | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Market Alert | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unbridled Bomber | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Koolhaus | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chestertown | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Salto de Tigre | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Rewards | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Spirit | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bricco | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Norgay | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smoke and Heat | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Achilles Heel | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Cumberland Blues | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mach One | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sell Something | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kingfish Stevens | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Venezuela | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lord Gatling | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strong Light | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gal in a Rush | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Palace Gossip | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 13 | 13 | To a T | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wings Like Eagles | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Happy Sophia | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hey There | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Anna Karenine (FR) | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Runaway Rockette | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Chasing Cara | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Milagro | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fontanafredda | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kitten’s Appeal | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Champagne Poetry | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Respectfully | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sister Bridget (IRE) | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | My Malibu Honey | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bustinroxy | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ever Graceful | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mrs Bell | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Georgie’s Ladies | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tumbles | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stormy’s in Style | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Chance | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grace in Motion | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Madame Rose | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| Tumbles | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.