Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Invaluable | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alarm Clock | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pretty Rachel | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Talk Radio | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Princesstapiture | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Liberty Belle | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | La Tourista | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Cumparsita | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sonador | 8.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runaway Mom | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Saddle Up | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sonofaship | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Dunphy | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hob Alwatan | 1.60 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mangione | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Baytown Admiral | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ore Mine | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baytown Parfait | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Techne | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Green Chile | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lou’s Legacy | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Let’s Go Mark | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | The Rush Is On | 30.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Boy Por Uno | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Goodbetterbest | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Powder My Nose | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lotsandlotsofgold | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Amenset | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hurry Up Chic Chic | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catherine Blaze | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Toffee | 3.50 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Indy Again | 8.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shear | 12.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rudimentary Drink | 20.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Azamana Empire | 10.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Promisemeparadise | 10.00 | 13.5 | 25-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Colonel Grace | 10.00 | 13.5 | 26-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chicago Typhoon | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Creed | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Judge Davis | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Patient Capital | 1.60 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Keen On You | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Page One | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amani’s Eagle | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War Room | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sidekick | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lupo’s Legacy | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tim Tal | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Goin to the Show | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Certain | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Real Naughty | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kingmaker | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run for Reagan | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Time At All | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Level Up | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Power Alley | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Diamond Hands | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Mytown Myrules | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Lady Ivanka | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Texas Shuffle | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Implosion | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Colonel Aby B | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quality Star | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Precursory | 15.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Judith | 6.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Beachfront Bid | 6.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sweets Maker | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hashtag Winner | 30.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sake (FR) | 10.00 | 13.9 | 26-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eidikos (GB) | 5.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Princess Cairo | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Time to Race | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Call Me Toni | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Curl Girl | 1.80 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | K’antheia | 3.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Queen of the Rodeo | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lexa | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Soultitlesready | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Paleta | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Destine to Race | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Had That One Too | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fearless Kristie | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | Creative Minister | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Verbal | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Script | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Creed | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Eyes On Target | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strong Quality | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hidden Stash | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hidden Enemy (IRE) | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | American Hero | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Point Me By | 10.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Hornet | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 12 | 12 | February Son | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 14 | 14 | My Romeo Lima | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Mutakatif (IRE) | 30.00 | 14.7 | 28-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Nautilus (BRZ) | 20.00 | 15.8 | 30-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cowboy Justice (GB) | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Caballo Feliz | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rounder | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tuskegee Cat | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mr. Bouma | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | River Boy | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Beocca | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Classic Mark | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Workinfromhome | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nordic Light | 12.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Writeitontheice | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | San Marco City | 50.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lord Donegal | 3.50 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.