Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | April’s No Fool | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Nina | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Abitibi | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Supertaleofhoudini | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Edgee Angel | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mirth ‘n Merriment | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dorota | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Revs Run | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Mourne Mountains | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Next Dot | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Greenteaze | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hibernacle | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Happy Baytown | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unheard | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hollywoodboulevard | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Baytown Kitty Cat | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Sweetheart Dani | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Joia Rara | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bootsy’s Merlot | 30.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Angel | 30.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Green Chile | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Miss Athletic | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mombayla | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Boyne Valley | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Amaretti | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Preempt | 12.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kid’s Last Laugh | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blame the Toll | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heart Headed Woman | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Princess Says | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kiki Krazy | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Heartbreaker | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baby Quinn | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Wait Up | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Oxwood | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | French Composer | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Color Field | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Keen Heir | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Headline Report | 3.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Cunningham | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Born Flawless | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Maintainer | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dripping Gold | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Explosive | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Solid Country Gold | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jarreau | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Policy Option | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Iconic Adventure | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jr’s Gift | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | F Five | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | What Say Thee | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spin Wheel | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nicholas Jones | 30.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Arabian Prince | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Sailor’s Return | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Always Above | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Maasai Warrior | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Money Run | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chambers Bay | 30.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Counterspy | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fight Fiercely | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Street Swagg | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Soft Pants | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hill of Tara | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Captain Jack | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oddsontony | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Flirting Bridge (IRE) | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sister Lou Ann | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Choctaw Bingo | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bhoma | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lady Puchi | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Serenade | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Under One Sky | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Time Mo | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mademoiselle Nova | 50.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blissful | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Woohoo Jackie Blue | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Texas Magic | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Take a Stand | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lovely Princess | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Elle’sbigseacret | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz Our Turn | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | High Heater | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Improbable Story | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Two Worlds | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caramel Chip | 1.20 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crosstown Shootout | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Keen On You | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Gormleys Got Game | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Vettori Kin (BRZ) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.