Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Thorne House | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Southern Horse (ARG) | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Doitforandrew (GB) | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Forgiving Spirit | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Anmer Hall | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King Apollo | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Flew South | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Subsidize | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Adare | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heat’s On Zap | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dancing Rinca | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Evening Jewel S.) – Evening Jewel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ceiling Crusher | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tom’s Regret | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lov U Mean It | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cholly | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Absolutely Zero | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Time to Party | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yeng Again | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cash Equity (FR) | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flashiest | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fayathaan (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carmelita’s Man | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yes This Time | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tidal Forces | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Navy Man | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cavendish | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dillinger | 0.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bring Him Home | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mystification | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Perfecto | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Charles Whittingham S. Presented By Fanduel Tv) – Charles Whittingham S. Presented By Fanduel Tv
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gold Phoenix (IRE) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oncoming | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Offlee Naughty | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dicey Mo Chara (GB) | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Jostar | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Masteroffoxhounds | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Opry | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Runhappy Santa Anita Derby) – Runhappy Santa Anita Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | One in Vermillion | 50.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | National Treasure | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dazzlemesilver | 50.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Practical Move | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Geaux Rocket Ride | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Skinner | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Don’t Get It | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mandarin Hero (JPN) | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Low Expectations | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Echo Eddie S.) – Echo Eddie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Clouseau | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kangaroo Court | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Left Hand Man | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clovisconnection | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bus Buzz | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Good N Thirsty | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barely Funtional | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 98 | Austonian | 0.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lost In Space (IRE) | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seven Wonders | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Genius Jimmy | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Agatino (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Balladeer | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Prophet | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jeweled Shillelagh | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Surfer (GB) | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Coalinga Road | 4.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reckless Spirit | 3.50 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | General Mathis | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lovesick Blues | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Manitowish | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Clem Labine | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Next Revolt | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Teton Valley | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Self Taught | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Joker Boy | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joe Don Looney | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Harbors Dream | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Monrovia S.) – Monrovia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tom’s Beauty | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Summer | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | One Silk Stocking | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stella Noir | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Leggs Galore | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Canoodling | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kirstenbosch | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Freedom Flyer | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Amy C (GB) | 3.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elm Drive | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awake At Midnyte | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Santa Anita Oaks) – Santa Anita Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Faiza | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | And Tell Me Nolies | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clearly Unhinged | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gila | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Bettina | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Window Shopping | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Venganza | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Don’t Get Pickled | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cliquish | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| Window Shopping | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Shocking Grey | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Unfaithful Ways | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Chloe’s Crown | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ultimate Hy | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rebel Girl | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scarabea | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Annaghlasa (IRE) | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Precious Baby | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Howboutdemapples | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Act of Serendipity | 50.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ancient Peace | 4.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rose Barton (IRE) | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Corporal Violette (IRE) | 6.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.