Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Reup | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Backgate Red | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Choctaw | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Street Commander | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Topf Road Rules | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Westover | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Braska | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Al’s Romeo | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kid Shelleen | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ben Dreaming | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Air Force | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hard to Come By | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chrome Run | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wellwrit | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | What’s Up Doc | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | She’s a Rocket | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Valiant Praise | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stay Fabulous | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Nellie | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’m So Funny | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Insensitive | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Free Will | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I’m Beth Dutton | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Super Cindy | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Burninhunkoflove | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Acehigh Royal | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Upstriker | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grapnel | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Title Shot | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yacht Rock (IRE) | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rum ‘n Tonic | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Atras | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Geaux Yoshka | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Southern Sunset | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nyquick | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Simovic | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Juilliard | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Citizen | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unload | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Texas Pride | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gatlinburg | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mad Hustle | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lamutanaatty | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Banjo Bear | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Improbable Journey | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | League of Legends | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Texas Red Hot | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Matts Fire N Ice | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Boss | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Penetrator | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Out Run’m | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Conspiracy Fact | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pats Property | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Winterwood | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magoo | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Major General | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saqeel | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Antigravity | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charter Oak | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Trafalgar | 3.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Temperence Hill S.) – Temperence Hill S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lone Rock | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Warrant | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strong Tide | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mystic Night | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Full Charge | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Calibrate | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Cybertown | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Storm Strategy | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Empyreal Shadow | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jim Ned | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Prince | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Peel | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Seeking Chrome | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Madmartigan | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Natorade | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ready Shoes | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Four Dice | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Willie Win | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.