Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shreveport | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Army Times | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ocasek | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Harrodsburg | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carpe Capella | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Just a Nyquist | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | New York Supreme | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holiday Jazz | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flattering Gal | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Handle the Truth | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ricelle | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Predetermined | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Engineer Empire | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wanna Winna | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Lucky Luke | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Morethanafeeling | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | For Profit | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wynn Giant | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Truculent | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Realm | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Microscope | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forever Wicked | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Goldini | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bingo John | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kumar | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Dancing Sophia | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 5 | My Sweet Wife | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Suspended Campaign | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Run Devil | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Texian | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Mariah’s Fortune | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vienna Code | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Flamingo Hawk | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Striking Speed | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reed Kan | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Air Show | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gaslight | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Caerus | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Winning Drive | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | F F Rocket | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heir Port | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Victorious Wave | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Win for Gold | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joey Loose Lips | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Venezuela | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zeebear | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Worker | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Whirlwind Ride | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lord Gatling | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Royal Currency | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tempermental | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Try It Again | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fancy Feline | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forty Smooth | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saratoga Gaze | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bankers Daughter | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Refuah | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miracle Mike | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Olympic Dreams | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Indian Mischief | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Squid Gamer | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unaffected | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ferris Muler | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bear’s Correct | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.