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Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 25, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Soupersilverdollar 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Dither 2.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Gustavor 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Shockwave 10.00 3.4 7-1
4 4 St Ignacio 15.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Lyte Crude 10.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Super Computing 12.00 7.1 13-1
12 12 Dontonio 30.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Ordinary 20.00 9 17-1
8 8 Caddy Man 15.00 9.6 18-1
6 6 Changeordersonny 15.00 11.8 22-1
9 9 Cosmic Stardust 20.00 11.8 22-1
14 14 Ghost Coast 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Smooth Motion 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Lookin for Roses 4.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Interstellar 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 I’ll Figure It Out 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Commanding General 3.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Joe Di Baggio 3.00 3 6-1
5 5 Frolic Man 5.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Cactus Jack 15.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Pride and Passion 6.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Little Juanito 4.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Cajun Mandate 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Roman Poet 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 I Am Resilient 15.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Dream of a Day 15.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Bach 3.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Tolkien 15.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Drum and Drummer 10.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Solar Tap 20.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Starship Wizard 4.50 8.5 16-1
11 11 Sebaray 5.00 9.2 17-1
12 12 Bluto’s Candy 8.00 9.7 18-1
10 10 Impulsiveness 12.00 10.3 19-1
2 2 Euphoria Star 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Texas Glitter S.) – Texas Glitter S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dr Oseran 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Crispy Cat (GB) 2.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Gordian Knot 5.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Three Zero 8.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Golden Nugget 12.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Vamos Viejo 15.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Marley Luck 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Etnico 1.40 1 2-1
1 1 Startonahighnote 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 Chaplin 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Bad Boy Frank 20.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Mapper 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Bernardo’s Legacy 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Case 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Last Shift 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Inflation Adjusted 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Siege of Boston 4.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 My Man Flint 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Glider 3.50 4.5 9-1
11 11 Red Hornet 6.00 5.5 10-1
12 12 Moms Moon 20.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Volcanic 15.00 7 13-1
2 2 Aruba 8.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Vladislav 20.00 8 15-1
5 5 Breakwater 12.00 8.7 16-1
10 10 Ruthless Intent 20.00 11.3 21-1
3 3 Winston Blue 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Bryce Canyon 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Cash Call Kitten 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Veloce 6.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Castagno 20.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Marisa’s Mission 2.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Heat of the Night 30.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Prefect 15.00 6 11-1
6 6 Dazzling Truths 8.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Kiddie Holiday 10.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Hrothgar 30.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Joe Phillips 20.00 8 15-1
5 5 Telephone Talker 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Ghostinyou 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Wonka 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Arina (GER) 2.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Beechnut Trophy 12.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Miss Delicious 4.50 4.4 8-1
10 10 Traffic Song 15.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Join the Dance 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Free Data 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Out of Sorts 15.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Keyflower (FR) 10.00 7 13-1
8 8 My Candy Girl 30.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 Journeytothemoon 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Assertiko 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mr Tito’s 3.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Hercules 6.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Tone Feelin 5.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Danville 2.50 2.5 5-1
10 10 High Yield Kitten 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Strasbourg 30.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Hey Porter 10.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Federal Exchange 30.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 The Big Grey 20.00 8.9 17-1
11 11 Thenorthremembers 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Melody Of Colors S.) – Melody Of Colors S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Sassy Nature 0 0-1
5 5 Sassy Nature 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Bedtime Story 8.00 1.8 3-1
10 10 Sure Can 8.00 3.8 7-1
13 13 Primrose Ridge (GB) 8.00 4.5 9-1
11 11 Miami Girl (IRE) 6.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Vai Bella 12.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Showgirl Lynne B 20.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Just a Care (IRE) 4.50 8.3 16-1
12 12 Wide West (IRE) 15.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 Flor de Sombra 8.00 9.3 18-1
2 2 Miss Vyvyanne 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Clay Soldier 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 My Sweet Affair 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Nate the Great 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 Stanley House 4.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Bel Ami 3.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 My Favorite Topic 12.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Lanigan 12.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Rigel 12.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Vincenzino 20.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Nanga Parbat (GB) 30.00 8.3 16-1
8 8 Simcoe 20.00 9.1 17-1
4 4 Full Coverage 15.00 10.6 20-1
10 10 Silent Mode 30.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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