Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Crescent City Derby) – Crescent City Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Benoit | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Allnight Moonlight | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Late September | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mangum | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kajun Karma | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mor Big Lee | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Don’t Venmo | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Calibrachoa Kid | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | King’s Glory | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Castlewarden | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coaches Meeting | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Billy Jack | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | River Raft | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Harbour Bridge | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Noble Reality (FR) | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Billy Bob Rocket | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Crescent City Oaks) – Crescent City Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Free Drop Maddy | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Guitar Woman | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alpine Mist | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Olivia G | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Louisiana Liberty | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Star Moment | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | New Destiny | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Costa Rising S.) – Costa Rising S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bertie’s Galaxy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bron and Brow | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brian’s Iron Mike | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Chopper | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | X Clown | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yankee Seven | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fiesty Fist | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Relentless Dancer | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vodka Gimlet | 10.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Hooray Austin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Oh My Aching Arch | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Swot Analysis | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Apache Tears | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | My Pal Mattie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Helaire | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mike J | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bru Na Boinne | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Huntleigh | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Alyssa | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stellar Lady | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saenz | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Merlazza | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pasta Salad Rhonda | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nomadic Pride | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Tappy Tone | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ervadean | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Master Som | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Twin Mischief | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden View | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Wish | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sandra D | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Shild O Mine | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Conceptualize | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | She’smysmokeshow | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | K’antheia | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Angora Deb | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ervadean | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Pom Pom | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Storm Bay | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | First Love | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Mystical Fire | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bella Paloma | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Graceful Union | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Chablis | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dialherup | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Raggity Sand | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Corsini | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Super Luxe | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Origami Girl | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | New Beat | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Freedom for All | 5.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dare to Wish | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Lady Samaritan | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Persimmon Hill | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Tom Benson Memorial S.) – Tom Benson Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Adventuring | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | New Year’s Eve | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trail Ridge Road | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Island Hideaway (GB) | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She Can’t Sing | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trobairitz | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | New Boss | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Russian Mafia | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Didia (ARG) | 3.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gather as You Go | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (New Orleans Classic S. Presented By Relyne Gi By Hagyard) – New Orleans Classic S. Presented By Relyne Gi By Hagyard
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pioneer of Medina | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Art Collector | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | West Will Power | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Wireless | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pioneer of Medina | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rattle N Roll | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Happy American | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Treasury | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trafalgar | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Muniz Memorial Classic S. Presented By Horse Racing Nation) – Muniz Memorial Classic S. Presented By Horse Racing Nation
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Been Patient | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Spooky Channel | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Atone | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gentle Soul | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Another Mystery | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Two Emmys | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tiz the Bomb | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | English Tavern | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rising Empire | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Native Thunder | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Risk Manager | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Fair Grounds Oaks Presented By Fasig-tipton) – Fair Grounds Oaks Presented By Fasig-tipton
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian d’Oro | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Pretty Mischievous | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hoosier Philly | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Christian d’Oro | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Southlawn | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Alys Look | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Twinspires.com Louisiana Derby) – Twinspires.com Louisiana Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Jace’s Road | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Disarm | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shopper’s Revenge | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kingsbarns | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Curly Jack | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sun Thunder | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cagliostro | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tapit’s Conquest | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Instant Coffee | 2.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Single Ruler | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Denington | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Baseline Beater | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Got Me a Chrysler | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Steauxlit | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Iron Moon | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Aztec Gem | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Macho Beanie | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Reddingandlee | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Malaki Empire | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zinging Bayou | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ourperfectprince | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Josie’s Priority | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | City of Love | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Colt’s Brim | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Contraband Early | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 14 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | George Allen | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | G’wildcat | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Binding Agreement | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lauri’s Wish | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hooray Austin | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coach Kenny | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Available Star | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Wise Anchor | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hail State | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tambourine Star | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Autumns Strong Man | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Half Again | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | X Clown | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 15 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Splitting Aces | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Alexis | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Starsnmotion | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Visionista | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lightening Mo | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Splitting Aces | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | R T’s Cajun Lady | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Custom Comedy | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Certified Gem | 6.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Calcite | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kisster | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chuchi | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vivi Did It | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Pursuit l’Harmonie | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.