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Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Monday, February 20, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 General Mathis 3.00 1.48 7.00 3.80 3.00
1 Explain This Audit 12.00 6.00 12.00 5.60
2 Oncoming 3.00 1.73 3.00

$1.00 Exacta (5-1) Pays $46.40
$0.50 Trifecta (5-1-2) Pays $56.60
$0.10 Superfecta (5-1-2-3) Pays $56.57


RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
2 Sonoran 0.60 1.00 3.20 2.20 2.10
5 Castle Island 3.00 4.64 3.40 2.60
1 Dazzlemesilver 12.00 5.44 4.00

$1.00 Exacta (2-5) Pays $4.10
$0.50 Trifecta (2-5-1) Pays $9.75
$0.10 Superfecta (2-5-1-6) Pays $3.39


RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 Flint Stroll 2.50 1.00 6.80 3.20 2.40
3 Arrest 4.00 4.78 4.40 3.00
1 Naismith 3.00 2.55 3.00

$1.00 Exacta (5-3) Pays $11.60
$0.50 Trifecta (5-3-1) Pays $14.55
$0.10 Superfecta (5-3-1-4) Pays $7.03


RACE NUMBER 4 (Tiznow S.) – Tiznow S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 The Chosen Vron 0.40 1.00 2.60 2.10 0.00
The Chosen Vron
4 Leyas Candy 3.50 2.75 3.00 0.00
1 Coalinga Road 2.50 2.79 0.00

$1.00 Exacta (5-4) Pays $3.10
$0.50 Trifecta (5-4-1) Pays $1.90


RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
7 Dancing Rinca 6.00 1.60 9.20 5.20 4.20
4 Quality Wins 6.00 9.00 16.00 12.20
1 Classically 6.00 7.70 8.20

$1.00 Exacta (7-4) Pays $85.20
$0.50 Trifecta (7-4-1) Pays $367.95
$0.10 Superfecta (7-4-1-6) Pays $720.91


RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Jack Sixpack 2.50 6.66 8.20 4.60 3.80
1 Sunrise Journey 3.00 1.09 3.60 3.00
2 Suzie Qzz Brother 8.00 5.94 5.00

$1.00 Exacta (4-1) Pays $15.50
$0.50 Trifecta (4-1-2) Pays $76.75
$0.10 Superfecta (4-1-2-5) Pays $52.63


RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 Real Fire 4.00 2.49 17.20 8.00 5.60
11 Ava’s Storm 8.00 11.00 13.60 9.60
7 Strikingly 15.00 3.98 4.40

$1.00 Exacta (5-11) Pays $150.00
$0.50 Trifecta (5-11-7) Pays $480.35
$0.10 Superfecta (5-11-7-1) Pays $477.63


RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Princess Adaleigh 1.20 1.84 3.20 2.40 2.10
6 Kristi’s Tiger 8.00 4.92 5.40 3.60
2 Youteyourhonor 4.00 1.00 3.00

$1.00 Exacta (3-6) Pays $8.00
$0.50 Trifecta (3-6-2) Pays $15.50
$0.10 Superfecta (3-6-2-4) Pays $11.96


RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
8 Tom’s Beauty 4.00 5.62 5.40 3.80 3.00
7 Unbridled Mary 12.00 9.00 10.80 9.00
2 Founder’s Day 12.00 5.35 11.60

$1.00 Exacta (8-7) Pays $40.80
$0.50 Trifecta (8-7-2) Pays $253.85
$0.10 Superfecta (8-7-2-3) Pays $253.44


RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
8 La V. 3.00 2.65 5.40 4.00 2.80
3 Majestic Gigi 8.00 3.65 10.00 6.40
9 Bonita Leona 12.00 3.31 4.40

$1.00 Exacta (8-3) Pays $27.30
$0.50 Trifecta (8-3-9) Pays $72.80
$0.10 Superfecta (8-3-9-11) Pays $60.33


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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