Site icon Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 11, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
3 Runninwiththeboyz 3.00 5.24 6.00 3.00 2.20
7 Control Function 4.00 1.99 4.00 2.60
1 Dendera 2.50 1.00 2.40

$1.00 Exacta (3-7) Pays $9.70
$0.50 Trifecta (3-7-1) Pays $10.85
$0.10 Superfecta (3-7-1-6) Pays $10.28


RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
6 Never Sway 4.00 1.00 7.00 3.00 2.60
1 Big Bell 2.50 4.38 3.20 2.40
3 Back On the Street 6.00 6.52 4.00

$1.00 Exacta (6-1) Pays $10.20
$0.50 Trifecta (6-1-3) Pays $19.55
$0.10 Superfecta (6-1-3-2) Pays $9.23


RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Southern Horse (ARG) 2.50 4.58 5.80 3.20 2.80
5 Jetovator 3.00 1.07 4.00 3.00
2 Exceed Speed Limit 6.00 1.00 3.60

$1.00 Exacta (4-5) Pays $10.80
$0.50 Trifecta (4-5-2) Pays $29.70
$0.10 Superfecta (4-5-2-1) Pays $16.96


RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 Army Star 3.00 6.17 6.80 3.40 2.60
6 Crowning Gold 2.50 1.00 3.20 2.40
2 Crypto Ride 3.00 3.85 2.80

$1.00 Exacta (5-6) Pays $10.20
$0.50 Trifecta (5-6-2) Pays $14.45
$0.10 Superfecta (5-6-2-8) Pays $9.10


RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
8 Kimmer 5.00 7.27 9.80 4.80 3.20
5 Constant Conflict 2.50 4.48 5.00 3.40
1 Papa Tiger 5.00 1.02 6.00

$1.00 Exacta (8-5) Pays $22.80
$0.50 Trifecta (8-5-1) Pays $80.25
$0.10 Superfecta (8-5-1-4) Pays $189.66


RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
1 Handsome Gary 6.00 3.89 20.80 12.40 7.00
12 Liar Liar 15.00 4.96 13.40 8.00
2 Afternoon Heat 12.00 6.90 9.20

$1.00 Exacta (1-12) Pays $159.10
$0.50 Trifecta (1-12-2) Pays $833.75
$0.10 Superfecta (1-12-2-9) Pays $622.33


RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
5 Time to Party 4.00 2.15 10.60 5.00 3.20
6 Reckless Spirit 5.00 5.31 8.60 3.80
1 Aligato 2.50 1.00 2.40

$1.00 Exacta (5-6) Pays $33.70
$0.50 Trifecta (5-6-1) Pays $43.75
$0.10 Superfecta (5-6-1-7) Pays $32.34


RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Spirit of Makena 3.50 1.00 10.60 5.20 4.00
7 Anarchist 8.00 8.00 6.40 4.20
6 I Got No Munny 8.00 5.31 7.20

$1.00 Exacta (4-7) Pays $34.20
$0.50 Trifecta (4-7-6) Pays $153.20
$0.10 Superfecta (4-7-6-8) Pays $208.13


RACE NUMBER 9 (Sweet Life S.) – Sweet Life S.

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
4 Manhattan Jungle (IRE) 2.50 1.00 4.20 3.20 2.60
2 Ragtime Rose 12.00 4.12 10.80 7.00
7 Itzel 6.00 6.52 3.80

$1.00 Exacta (4-2) Pays $26.70
$0.50 Trifecta (4-2-7) Pays $63.05
$0.10 Superfecta (4-2-7-10) Pays $63.84


RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Official Results

Prgm Name ML Expected Win Place Show
9 Valiancer 4.00 1.00 10.20 4.00 2.40
4 Vegas Burner 6.00 2.68 3.80 2.60
10 Nuclear 3.00 4.25 2.40

$1.00 Exacta (9-4) Pays $12.20
$0.50 Trifecta (9-4-10) Pays $20.65
$0.10 Superfecta (9-4-10-8) Pays $12.49


Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version