Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pearlescent | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She Fled the Scene | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Current Situation | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mia At Midnight | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Linny Kate | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silky Warrior (IRE) | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Money Factor | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Una Luna | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Luna Tuna | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Omo Ten Girl | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Riverview Stevie | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Law Machine | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Turn On the Charm | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Girvin Girl | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moon Rose | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | La Costa | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mabee Luckynwild | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queen Cupid | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Decaf | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Khozzy Valintine | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ghostly Night | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Girl Bye | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Find Your Passion | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Condescending | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Conceptus | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Child Memories | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jellybean | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Feisty Sara | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Love Is Awesome | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Listentothemusic | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Certain | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lieutenant Stan | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Harry’s Onthefly | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Assume Nothing | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Muntaliq | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Organizedconfusion | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Best Defense | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Portofino | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Caddy Man | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Track Shot | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Never Satisfied | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 5 | 5 | Never Satisfied | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moped Dennis | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Federal Exchange | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cajun Bayou | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Action Dream | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pacific Legend | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | El Guapo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Classy Edition | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Truancy | 3.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Customer Driven | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Signal From Noise | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freccia d’Argento | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Liam’s Kiss | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Olga Isabel | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Smart Spending | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Bella | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Abuse of Power | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Starship Mallomar | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frankie’s Girl | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Basilia | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dakota Dancer | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mizzen Ash | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Streaking Grey | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Indicia | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hazardous Humor | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Avatal Hero | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Getaway | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Colonel Cappy | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Redisur | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gabe | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mexicoffee | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Minella | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brooklyn Dreams | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Solomons Gold | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.