Site icon Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 8, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Thirsty Pappy 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Workday 5.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Herecomegeorgieboy 3.50 3.8 7-1
9 9 My Ransom 15.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Star Prospect 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Buck Owens 4.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Do It for Dave 20.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Mickey Goldmill 12.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Hondo Crouch 6.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Ship and Scam 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Margot’s Girl 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Worthiness 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Supercents 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Parco 2.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 What a Way to Go 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Moonlite in Heaven 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Forgiving Spirit 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mischievous Path 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Lil Nas 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Shortman 15.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Beaudacious 4.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Talklessworkmore 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 So I’m Told 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Post Facto 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Chicknfingerfriday 4.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Clooney 1.60 2.6 5-1
1 1 Reef City 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Take Charge Curly 6.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Deep River 10.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Moon Time 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Flint Stroll 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 George Herman Ruth 5.00 3 6-1
4 4 Algeria (IRE) 8.00 3.4 7-1
1 1 Arrest 4.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Oncoming 12.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Never Seen Before (IRE) 6.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Oculus 6.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Berolijean (FR) 6.00 7 13-1
6 6 Hoodlum 20.00 8.3 16-1
10 10 Derecho Dandy 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Santa Ynez S.) – Santa Ynez S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fast and Shiny 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 Ice Dancing 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Parody 5.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Huntingcoco 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Satin Doll 15.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Justique 0.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Happy Gal 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Jordan 6.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Excelia (IRE) 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 The Wild Grazer (IRE) 2.50 3.7 7-1
9 9 Fun Money 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Princess Bettina 5.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Always At Ease 6.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Miss Bellimbusto 20.00 9.7 18-1
10 10 Thread Count 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Havana Angel (IRE) 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Arinniti (FR) 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Sham S.) – Sham S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Reincarnate 0 0-1
2 2 National Treasure 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Packs a Wahlop 6.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Reincarnate 8.00 2 4-1
1 1 Newgate 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Spun Intended 2.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Speed Boat Beach 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Avenue 4.00 1 2-1
8 8 Lincoln Hawk (IRE) 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 Script 3.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Mecklenburg (IRE) 4.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Hudson Ridge 12.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Dean Martini 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Opry 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Count of Amazonia (IRE) 12.00 5 9-1
9 9 Rip City 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version