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Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 5, 2023

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Morgan’s Bluff 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Artifact (GB) 4.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Breaking Bullet 6.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Black Ice 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Lady Petal 8.00 2.9 5-1
12 12 Miss Kristy 10.00 3 6-1
7 7 Amor Salvaje 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Take It South 15.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 La Palma 20.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 My Gypsy Witch 20.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Lipari 30.00 7.3 14-1
11 11 Magic Call 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Naval Officer 1.80 1 2-1
8 8 Fight 2.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Capturethelaughter 4.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Cheval Dore 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Fort Attitude 20.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Totally Like Mom 15.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Danger Ranger 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Takemyshot 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Mister Suppa Louie 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mandy Green 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Chess Not Checkers 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 L. E. Gray 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Zisisit (IRE) 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Amunet 15.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Maria’s Revenge 2.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Strong Embrace 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ana’s Gun 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Mija 2.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Okay Fine 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Undoubtedly 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Adeliese’s Smile 20.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Mutola 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 To Thyself B True 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Musical Design 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Feline 3.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Red Tiara 5.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Stake a Claim 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Lita 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Never (IRE) 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Martini’s Amica 20.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Exaggerated Humor 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 He’s in Charge 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Elusive Mischief 3.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Charmed (GB) 3.50 2.4 4-1
3 3 Town of Gold 4.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Get Set 4.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Toretto 15.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Old Town Road 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Crack Shot 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bravo Kitten 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Elle Est Forte 4.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Social Engagement 4.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Lucky Peridot 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Broadway Boogie 4.50 4 7-1
9 9 Running Legacy 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 In a Spin 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Influencing 20.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Blue Times 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Collaborate 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 Top Gun Tommy 8.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 American Prince 5.00 3 6-1
5 5 Scar 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Create Again 12.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Celestial Glaze 8.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Universal Payday 20.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Sensei Lawrence 10.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Ludington 10.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Speargun 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Worlds On High 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 American Diamond 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Dream of a Day 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 C My Meister 4.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 The Peninsula 15.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Rugged Union 6.00 5.2 10-1
13 13 Greg’s Honor 8.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Souper Royal Moon 20.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Garmento 15.00 6.9 13-1
12 12 Invective 20.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Gypsy Kitten 30.00 9.9 19-1
6 6 King Alfredo 30.00 10.4 20-1
7 7 Alexis N Niko 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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