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Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, December 11, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mr. Cellular 8.00 1 2-1
11 11 Greg’s Honor 3.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Media Sensation 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Nothngoodcomseasy 4.50 4 8-1
8 8 Dunkle 12.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Rock Solid Words 20.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Wheatsheaf 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Streaming Tap 15.00 5.8 11-1
12 12 Stormy Victory 20.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Mister Suppa Louie 30.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Universe Boss 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Chef Menteur 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Frosty Warrior 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Devil’s Myth 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Bosshog Them Dukes 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Funding Gap (IRE) 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 The Distractor 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Absolute Grit 6.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 I’m a G Six 4.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Pudding 1.60 SCRATCH
4 4 Powerfully Built 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Gins and Tins 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Miss Holly 0 0-1
7 7 Queen of Mine 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Girly the Butcher 3.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Always Connected 3.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Oaxaca 6.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Pretty Persuasive 1.80 2.4 4-1
4 4 Karen’s Revenge 12.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Miss Holly 20.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Hot Bottom Girl 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lunar Rocket 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Naval Officer 3.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Straight Time 2.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Bluey 3.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 El Bailador 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Fight 20.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Toyi 20.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Peinadito 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Una Luna 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 La Costa 6.00 1.6 3-1
12 12 Radiant Gem 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Katiesdreamgirl 12.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Pacific Princess 8.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Vandalia 3.50 6.3 12-1
11 11 Grey Charlotte 20.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Beautiful Star 20.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 Isadorable Aida 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Morning Colors 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Aziza 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Forbidden Dream 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Mia At Midnight 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Arete’s Chalice 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Forest Survivor 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Lucago 4.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Tetragrammaton 5.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Barone Cesco 3.50 5.2 10-1
3 3 Never Satisfied 8.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Crack Shot 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Unified Conquest 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Alpha Bella 0 0-1
2 2 Alpha Bella 3.00 1 2-1
12 12 Strand of Gold 4.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Worst Behaviour 12.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Mystify 15.00 3.5 7-1
11 11 Seeking Stardom 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Accidental Icon 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Seven P’s 20.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Solicitation 4.50 7 13-1
4 4 Sri Lanka 12.00 7 13-1
13 13 Well Into 5.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Al Tirah 20.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Pedigeek 12.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Mutola 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 It’s So Easy 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Rain 12.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Battle Cry 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Shes All Woman 1.40 3.2 6-1
1 1 Pens Street 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Our Fantasy 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Let’s Be Honest 12.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Murumbi 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tiger 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Assertiko 5.00 1.3 3-1
5 5 Gangly 3.50 2.3 4-1
8 8 Avant Glory 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Magical Warrior 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Handsome Prince 20.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Sunset Provision 10.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Starship Renegade 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Prince of Iron 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
On the Payroll 0 0-1
9 9 Erna 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Penumbras Maker 15.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Mrs. Astor 8.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 On the Payroll 5.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 More Than a Diva 6.00 3.9 7-1
11 11 Milieu 8.00 5 9-1
12 12 Letter of Gold 4.50 5.1 10-1
2 2 Cumberland Falls 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Moral Turpitude 30.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Darling Luna 30.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Shez Speightful 15.00 8.2 16-1
10 10 Poshly 30.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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