Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lilly Babe | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hail Columbia | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blame It On Rose | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ardis | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tizzy Twister | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spring Spinning | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sangre Azul | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Brandon’smylawyer | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tony Ann | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alice Marble | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bulletproof One | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carolina Mia | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aqua Seaform Shame | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | American Cat | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lemon Drop Shot | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wegonahavagoodtime | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irondale | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dad Bod | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Agador Spartacus | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carol’s Comic | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Valiente | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Head Start | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Taylor | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Fix | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Super Renee | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gypsy Lynn | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bali Dancer | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fried Asparagus | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quicklikeabunny | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alphie’s Angel | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Maven | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Chaos Theory | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | He Be Mojo Risin | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | My Harbors Dream | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Real Money | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fully Loaded | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Grit and Curiosity | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | King of Speed | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jacks Outlaw | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Ted | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 98 | Barristan The Bold (GB) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Barnstorming | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Harlocap | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spun Intended | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Texthelegend | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vegas Burner | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smoose | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Calm Sea | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Johannes | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tall Boy | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Seabiscuit H.) – Seabiscuit H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hong Kong Harry (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smooth Like Strait | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Santin | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beyond Brilliant | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Masteroffoxhounds | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Set Piece (GB) | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Irideo (ARG) | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kentucky Ghost | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lincoln Hawk (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Finally Here | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Savile Row | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Liberty Forever | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hopkins | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Good Vibes Only | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | City Rage | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Augusta Melody | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Finneus | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tio Magico | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aligato | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fly the Sky | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Goldeneye | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hawk of War | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bang for Your Buck | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dominant Soul | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Percolate (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Agatino (IRE) | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Seven Wonders | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hockey Dad | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.