Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Determinedly | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Desert Wolf | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prairie Dunes | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dreamwithinadream | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Top d’Oro | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sun Thunder | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Sanctuary | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shopper’s Revenge | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Fame | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Noises Off | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Smile Mon | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sense You Asked | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Crossing | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Towhead | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roses and Rozay | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Comparative | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Theroanrunner | 5.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mija | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Harmonica | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wits and Wagers | 8.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stay Lost | 5.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Guilt | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Two Minute Lick | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tivali | 20.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sweet Sweetfantasy | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Welaka | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lord Grantham | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Joking Way | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Victory Formation | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lugan Knight | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two Eagles River | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coffee Caliente | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gold Luck | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Poblano | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Market Profile | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Vahva | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Patty Van Twinkle | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Souper Explosive | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tough Legacy | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bru Na Boinne | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dear Lady | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Okay Fine | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Medaglia Forever | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Irene | 10.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luna Moth | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Ladan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Kiss It Goodbye | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Klassy Bridgette | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Iguazu Falls | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Escapologist | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spielman | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Endpoint | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Spoiler | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Face Value | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Macho Villa | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coal Boss | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hard to Come By | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crepe Yarns | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Point Proven | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Level Up | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Regimental | 15.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Parkway | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Gordy’s Label | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | First Class Harlow | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Rocket and Roll | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Good Heart | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Deer District | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Worthington | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | B Minor | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mendel’s Secret | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Donegal Factor | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Counterspy | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Curlins Incharge | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Suitable | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scooteranddabigman | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nitroman | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Aristocracy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Fern Creek S.) – Fern Creek S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Baytown Lovely | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Key of Life | 1.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twirled | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Carpet Ready | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Great Maybe | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tell Me When | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mo’s Treasure | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hit Show | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Traffic Master | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rocket Can | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Confidence Game | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tres Soles | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ten Days Later | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Highway Robber | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Must Be the Money | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Raise Cain | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Take the Charge | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Ed Brown S.) – Ed Brown S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Top Recruit | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frosted Departure | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Powerful | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Bash | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Accident | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mounsieur Coco | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Bob | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Golden Rod S.) – Golden Rod S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoosier Philly | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 4 | 4 | Hoosier Philly | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Knockyoursocksoff | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | T Max | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | American Rockette | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pretty Mischievous | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Defining Purpose | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Take Charge Briana | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pure Pauline | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mustang Lady | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Black Forest | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Kentucky Jockey Club S.) – Kentucky Jockey Club S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Instant Coffee | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Curly Jack | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Route One | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gigante | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Instant Coffee | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cyclone Mischief | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Denington | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hayes Strike | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Freedom Trail | 6.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Western Ghent | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Backside Buzz | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Hallow Point | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | King d’Oro | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Pranks | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mobster | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Global Pride | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Talladega | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gun Pilot | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pinfire | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Itzos | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Winger | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | All About Croge | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr Midway | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.