Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Eldon’s Samurai | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Cline | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brew Crew | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Robert Who | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hooves Your Daddy | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brick Town | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Crazy Lover | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Kingbird | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dixieland Quality | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Blaze | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big City Boy | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gospel Buzz | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mazi | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Holiness | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Competitive Spirit | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ain’tnosweetie | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen of Magnolia | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magical Gold | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | First Empress | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Super Legs | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bid for Power | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Polly Tiz | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Simple Pleasure | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Seeing Double | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cali | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | L L Cool Grey | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mylittlewiskeygirl | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lil’ Bit of Chrome | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Single Saturday | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moonshine Lily | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Dynasty | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lady Ave | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lacey Boss | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | La Morena | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scarlet Position | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Missiszippy Bling | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stalemate | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Okie Front | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Fearless Will | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Covington Quality | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Caney’s Ghost | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sedaris | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Agent McGee | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catale Storm | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Charing Cross | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Toah | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Willy Special Cats | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Rosie’s Outlaw | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Larch | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Exciting | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | J B’s Legacy | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Remember Me Tony | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Proud Moments | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Bobby McGee | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rocktizway | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moro Merica | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jersey Jim | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | From Pit to Palace | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Boy Bling | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gunflash | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sazon | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rudiano | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flying G | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mandolin Wind | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pure Cane Sugar | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.