Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Message Discipline | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Doyouknowmyname | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Find New Roads | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unbridled Joy | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Money | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Guilty Affair | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fredonian | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royally | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Deanos Cape | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Available Star | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Taruca | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Waverunner | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Twist | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Midnightcandystorm | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sunny San Leon | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jokes On Blue | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Olivia Twist | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Riobella | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sister Bling | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Punch Em | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Wings | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunday Bling | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pico d’Oro | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Revival | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | West Texas Rain | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carpe Eros | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Just Okie | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pando | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mor Lana Spirit | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lil Sweet Thang | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Outlaw | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Money Run | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Afraidofthebunny | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Charliecando | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Carl G | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | River Ruler | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Secretary At War | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coal Truth | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Win for Fun | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Monet’s Devil | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Town Champ | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plenty of Vision | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Plenty of Vision | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Our Bet | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kachina | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fightingtemptation | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smokin’ Okie | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chillaxification | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Strong Woman | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cost a Fortune | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Super Wonder Girl | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lingering Promise | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Camaraderie | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aquila Moon | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mocha Kiss | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dorita’s Heart | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Palacein | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drifting West | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 3 | 3 | Hello Hot Rod | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Number One Dude | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Paluxy | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Drifting West | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Man in the Can | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gold Money | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Newscaster | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.